Okay, this will be my last non-draft post before the big night Thursday.
Darrelle Revis: Great move by the Jets, risky move by the Bucs. First the Jets. Why Woody Johnson didn't fire Rex Ryan along with Tannanbaum and go into full rebuilding mode is a mystery to me, but so was bringing in Tebow. The Jets are a mess and it's going to take years to turn things around. Paying a corner $16 million a year when your QB situation is up in the air, your defensive line lacks a pass rush, and when you have one B+ weapon on offense would have been beyond idiotic. Corners are simply not that valuable, especially in a division where the best receiver is a 65 catch 10td a year speedster. In today's NFL offenses are too potent to shut down completely and the best teams in league have secondaries that aren't exceptional. Why? Because they're too busy spending more of their money where it counts; QBs, o-line, and pass rush. Defenses don't need to be dominant, just effective in the red-zone and opportunistic. Exceptional corners are icing on a cake, not a team's bread and butter. Great sign for the Jets that they let Revis go.
As for the Bucs I'm not all that excited about this move. Revis likely won't be in top form in 2013 simply due to the fact that full recovery from ACL (mentally and physically) typically takes a full year of playing. So the Bucs will have paid $16 million for 85% of Revis' best. Still a great corner, but not worth that money. One year of being overpaid. Let's say you get 100% of Revis in 2014 so now you're getting what you paid for, but will likely hinder your ability to sign other talent. In other words the Bucs have to win a championship in 2014 because after that year they'll have to renegotiate deals with Josh Freeman, Gerald McCoy, Mason Foster, Da'Quan Bowers, and Adrian Clayborn. Not mention other starters Mark Barron, Doug Martin, and Lavonte David will likely be looking for new deals as well. If they don't realize Revis' (over) value now they will by the offseason of 2014. Now the Bucs could win a championship in two years, but that would mean being at or near the top of a division with Atlanta and New Orleans and likely having to face the 49ers, Seahawks, and/or Giants in the playoffs. All 5 of these teams are more talented and/or better coached and/or managed than the Bucs. My guess is they will wish they had that 13th pick in this year's draft back when Revis holds out for guaranteed money after two years.
As for Revis the player, big applause for getting off the jet. As I mentioned before, that team is a mess. Their owner is a bit of a nut bag, their coach should be a d-coordinator, and their roster is one of the worst in the league. If the cost of leaving was signing a deal with no guaranteed money ($16 million is practically guaranteed) and you have confidence in your recovery then get the hell out of dodge. I think the rest of the league catches on and Revis takes a pay cut in two years. If he leaves the Bucs for another contract then his prospects of winning a title will be inversely proportional to the amount of money he makes.
Rolando McClain: Well that didn't take long. I don't think too much of McClain's recent disorderly conduct arrest in Alabama. Police in the south don't exactly have a pristine record when it comes to interacting with the public, and especially not with black folks. Still, it's not a good start, but rarely do people, especially rich young men, change overnight. The Ravens knew what they were getting with McClain; a talented young player who has not been in a professional environment and has picked up or been allowed to indulge some bad habits. A 1 year, $700,000 deal is not a big risk so if McClain doesn't get right then the Ravens aren't hurting themselves financially. Not trending well for the former Bama star.
The more things change the more things stay the same. All one has to do to predict the success of players that change teams is look at the contracts they sign. With the exception of QB, if a player signs a deal that's at, near, or over the highest paid at the position then you can bet their success with be fleeting. Desperate and/or below average front offices are willing to pay top dollar for talent they didn't draft while well run teams have confidence they can draft a younger equivalent. It's that simple.
Darrelle Revis: Great move by the Jets, risky move by the Bucs. First the Jets. Why Woody Johnson didn't fire Rex Ryan along with Tannanbaum and go into full rebuilding mode is a mystery to me, but so was bringing in Tebow. The Jets are a mess and it's going to take years to turn things around. Paying a corner $16 million a year when your QB situation is up in the air, your defensive line lacks a pass rush, and when you have one B+ weapon on offense would have been beyond idiotic. Corners are simply not that valuable, especially in a division where the best receiver is a 65 catch 10td a year speedster. In today's NFL offenses are too potent to shut down completely and the best teams in league have secondaries that aren't exceptional. Why? Because they're too busy spending more of their money where it counts; QBs, o-line, and pass rush. Defenses don't need to be dominant, just effective in the red-zone and opportunistic. Exceptional corners are icing on a cake, not a team's bread and butter. Great sign for the Jets that they let Revis go.
As for the Bucs I'm not all that excited about this move. Revis likely won't be in top form in 2013 simply due to the fact that full recovery from ACL (mentally and physically) typically takes a full year of playing. So the Bucs will have paid $16 million for 85% of Revis' best. Still a great corner, but not worth that money. One year of being overpaid. Let's say you get 100% of Revis in 2014 so now you're getting what you paid for, but will likely hinder your ability to sign other talent. In other words the Bucs have to win a championship in 2014 because after that year they'll have to renegotiate deals with Josh Freeman, Gerald McCoy, Mason Foster, Da'Quan Bowers, and Adrian Clayborn. Not mention other starters Mark Barron, Doug Martin, and Lavonte David will likely be looking for new deals as well. If they don't realize Revis' (over) value now they will by the offseason of 2014. Now the Bucs could win a championship in two years, but that would mean being at or near the top of a division with Atlanta and New Orleans and likely having to face the 49ers, Seahawks, and/or Giants in the playoffs. All 5 of these teams are more talented and/or better coached and/or managed than the Bucs. My guess is they will wish they had that 13th pick in this year's draft back when Revis holds out for guaranteed money after two years.
As for Revis the player, big applause for getting off the jet. As I mentioned before, that team is a mess. Their owner is a bit of a nut bag, their coach should be a d-coordinator, and their roster is one of the worst in the league. If the cost of leaving was signing a deal with no guaranteed money ($16 million is practically guaranteed) and you have confidence in your recovery then get the hell out of dodge. I think the rest of the league catches on and Revis takes a pay cut in two years. If he leaves the Bucs for another contract then his prospects of winning a title will be inversely proportional to the amount of money he makes.
Rolando McClain: Well that didn't take long. I don't think too much of McClain's recent disorderly conduct arrest in Alabama. Police in the south don't exactly have a pristine record when it comes to interacting with the public, and especially not with black folks. Still, it's not a good start, but rarely do people, especially rich young men, change overnight. The Ravens knew what they were getting with McClain; a talented young player who has not been in a professional environment and has picked up or been allowed to indulge some bad habits. A 1 year, $700,000 deal is not a big risk so if McClain doesn't get right then the Ravens aren't hurting themselves financially. Not trending well for the former Bama star.
The more things change the more things stay the same. All one has to do to predict the success of players that change teams is look at the contracts they sign. With the exception of QB, if a player signs a deal that's at, near, or over the highest paid at the position then you can bet their success with be fleeting. Desperate and/or below average front offices are willing to pay top dollar for talent they didn't draft while well run teams have confidence they can draft a younger equivalent. It's that simple.
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